Tropical Weather
Go here for more about hurricanes
Hurricane/Tropical FAQ from NOAA
2005 Hurricane Season: A record breaker
How does a hurricane form?
Eduardo
El Paso, TX
Eduardo,
From late spring to early fall, weather conditions come together to form swirling tropical cyclones over the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. This is when all the ingredients for tropical cyclones come together, including warm ocean waters, a warm moist atmosphere that can produce lots of thunderstorms, plenty of spin in the atmosphere, and not much turning of winds as you go higher up. It all begins with a thunderstorm forming over seawater that is at least 80 degrees Fahrenheit. More storms develop and merge together to form a tropical wave. The thunderstorms give off heat, and that warms the atmosphere. Air rises and so the air pressure falls even more. That falling air pressure causes the winds to increase. The Earth's rotation causes the increasing winds to spiral counter-clockwise. As the winds increase and turn, a closed circulation may form and thats when we get a tropical depression. When steady winds reach 39 miles an hour, the cyclone is called a tropical storm and it gets a name. If winds reach a speed of 74 miles an hour inside the tropical cyclone, we call it a hurricane.
How do you track hurricanes?
Kenneth
Kenneth,
Several tools are used to track the path of a hurricane. One important tool is
a weather satellite, which takes photographs of hurricanes and other storms from
space. With those photographs, meteorologists can see where the tropical
cyclone is currently, plot its location on a map, and get an idea of the
direction it is headed. To get an exact fix on the location of the cyclones
center, reconnaissance aircraft actually fly into the storms. In several
locations throughout the cyclone, a meteorologist aboard the plane takes
measurements of wind speed, wind direction, and barometric pressure, among other
things. From these measurements, the meteorologist can determine the latitude
and longitude of the hurricanes center and plot the location on a map.
Plotting these locations over a period of hours and/or days shows us the
hurricanes track.
I just saw a "Storm Stories"
of a cyclone in Australia. What is the difference between a hurricane, cyclone
and typhoon?
Frankie Hall
Warrensburg, MO
Dear Frankie,
When it comes to tropical weather, the difference between a hurricane, typhoon and cyclone is basically in location. They all fall under the generic name of "tropical cyclone, and they all develop from areas of low pressure and thunderstorms over warm oceans. In the North Atlantic Ocean, the Northeast Pacific Ocean east of the International Dateline (western hemisphere), or the south Pacific Ocean east of Longitude 160 east, we call them hurricanes. Hurricanes affect not only the United States, but also Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean islands. In the Northwest Pacific Ocean west of the International Dateline (Eastern Hemisphere) they are called Typhoons. Typhoons affect areas such as Japan, China, Taiwan and the Philippines. In the Indian Ocean, and southern Pacific Ocean, the same storms are simply called tropical cyclones or "cyclones" for short, and sometimes called severe tropical cyclones. These tropical cyclones often affect northern Australia during their tropical season, which is during fall and winter to early spring in the Northern Hemisphere.
How and why were the various
wind speed numbers selected for Tropical Storms (39
mph), hurricanes (74 mph) and their various categories?
Fred Bennett
Earth Science
Arlington Junior High School
Jacksonville, FL
Fred,
In 1926, the International World Meteorological Committee (which later became
the World Meteorological Organization) adopted a universal scale of wind speed
values, with a few revisions in later years. There is nothing particularly
magical about these numbers, and the reason theyre not more even (such as 40
miles an hour and 75 miles an hour etc.) is that theyre the result of
conversions to miles per hour from meters per second and knots. But when we see
a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained wind speeds of 39 mph (34 knots), we
also usually see the thunderstorms in the cyclone concentrated near the center,
and we also see rainfall in the outer part of the cyclone organizing into
distinct bands, and we call it a Tropical Storm. When sustained winds reach
around 74 mph (64 knots), we begin to see an eyewall and spiral rain bands
forming in the tropical cyclone, and it officially becomes a hurricane.
In the late 60s civil engineer Herbert Saffir was doing a study on low-cost housing in hurricane-prone areas when he realized there was no scale for showing the likely damage hurricanes of varying strength. He came up with a one-to-five scale based on wind speed and gave it to the National Hurricane Center. Bob Simpson, who was the director of the NHC at the time, added to the scale the effects of storm surge and flooding, and the scale became known as the Saffir-Simpson scale. According to the scale, the various categories of hurricanes are: Category 1 (74-95 mph), Category 2 (96-110 mph), Category 3 (111-130 mph), Category 4 (131-155 mph) and Category 5 (156+ mph). Again, theres nothing special about these specific numbers, as, for example, a strong Category 2 hurricane with 110 mph winds can bring nearly the same wind damage as a weak Category 3 with 111 mph winds. Even so, the scale gives us some idea of what wind damage to expect from a particular hurricane.
I thought that
the word cyclone came from the word cyclonic, meaning counter-clockwise. So
how can a storm in the southern hemisphere which rotates clockwise be called a
tropical cyclone?
Barry
As you have said, the cyclonic flow, or general direction of wind flow around an area of low pressure in the Northern Hemisphere, is counter clockwise. However, the cyclonic flow around a low in the Southern Hemisphere is clockwise. Cyclonic only refers to the inward-flowing air around a low pressure center due to Earths rotation, and that can be either clockwise or counter clockwise, depending on which hemisphere youre talking about. So in the Southern Hemisphere, tropical cyclones, which, as you say, rotate clockwise, are appropriately named. Of course we have tropical cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere as well. In the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific we call them hurricanes, and in the Western Pacific theyre known as typhoons, and they rotate counter clockwise.
What is a subtropical storm?
Max
Birmingham, AL
A subtropical storm is a low pressure area that has characteristics of both a tropical cyclone and a regular mid-latitude cyclone (the kind that normally brings precipitation across the U.S.) Subtropical storms usually form between about 20 to 35 degrees north latitude over water. The winds are strongest about 10-15 thousand feet high, and weaker near the surface, where winds are in the 39-73 mile an hour range, which is less than hurricane strength.
Subtropical storms are usually slow-moving and can produce abundant rain. They also can last a long time, from one to two weeks. They are fairly rare, but can sometimes be found in the north Indian Ocean, in south Pacific and near Hawaii, and in the Atlantic Ocean. Youll see them most often in the fall or early winter, but they can occur in any month of the year.
Before 2002 Atlantic subtropical storms were not given names, even though the National Hurricane Center issued warnings and forecasts for them. Now, a subtropical storm will get a name from the tropical cyclone list the same way a tropical storm would.
This hurricane season (2005)
seems to be most active than I can ever remember for named storms. What year
have we had the most named storms in one hurricane season?
Judie
Acworth, GA
Judie,
As of October 22, 2005 there is a new record for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, with 22 named storms. With Tropical Storm Alpha, and now Beta, we have, for the first time, exhausted all 21 names in the alphabet and have had to use letters from the Greek alphabet. In 1933 there were 21 tropical cyclones strong enough to be called hurricanes or tropical storms. Hurricanes were not named back then, but if they had been named under the current system, we would have gone all the way through the alphabet. (We skip the letters Q, U, X, Y, and Z because not enough names begin with those letters.)
In 1995 we got all the way to Hurricane Tanya, the 19th named storm of that season. Now, ten years later, here we are with 23 storms in the Atlantic, breaking the 1933 record.
Nick,
If the military set off a nuclear explosion in the path of a hurricane, would it
be strong enough to deflect the storm?
David
Every time we have major hurricanes that threaten the United States, I get this
question, or one similar to it. The idea you suggest has been considered, but
unfortunately even an atomic or hydrogen bomb is not powerful enough to weaken
the energy of a hurricane. The National Hurricane Center says that a hurricane
releases heat energy at a rate of 50 trillion to 200 trillion watts. (Trillion
in this case is a number followed by 12 zeros) This is the equivalent of a
10-megaton nuclear bomb exploding about every 20 minutes.
Hurricanes are "heat engines" that depend on the temperature contrast between warmth at the ocean surface and cold air aloft. Knowing that, one wonders whether the heat from any kind of bomb would actually add to the storm's natural heat supply, making the storm stronger. In any case, it has been said that trying to heat the upper atmosphere with bombs in an effort to lessen the heat contrast would be as fruitless as trying to heat the city of Minneapolis in January by opening the windows of a house.
The best thing we can do right now is to learn to anticipate and prepare for natures power, since we have not found any ways to significantly change it. The Hurricane Research Division of the Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory has answers to other questions about hurricane modification here.
Nick
Awhile back I recall hearing about a
way to seed storm clouds with a substance that would dissipate hurricanes. With all the
technology we have today, why can't scientists do something to lessen the impact of these
terrible storms?
Nita
Nita,
Youre right. About forty years ago the U.S. Government supported research into
hurricane modification. The theory was that
seeding the thunderstorm clouds just outside the storms eyewall with silver iodide
would form a new ring of clouds that would compete with the storms natural
circulation and thus weaken it. For cloud
seeding to work, there must be a lot of supercooled water in the clouds; that
is, water droplets that have remained liquid at temperatures below freezing. The problem with seeding hurricanes is that most
hurricanes are warmer than other storm systems, so they dont have enough supercooled
water for cloud seeding to work. The project
was eventually abandoned.
There have been other suggestions over
the years, including burning soot on the ocean waters near a hurricane. The idea was that the soot would absorb the
suns heat and help form thunderstorms outside the core of the hurricane and, similar
to the previous idea, weaken the storms center.
I also once heard of a similar idea to deposit oil over the seawater ahead of a
tropical cyclone to prevent evaporation from occurring and maybe cut off the storms
moisture supply. Unfortunately the possible
environmental catastrophes from these experiments could be worse than the storms
impacts, and the effectiveness of them remains in doubt.
Do Atlantic hurricanes ever cross over Central
America or Mexico and end up in the Pacific?
Brenda
East Meredith, NY
Yes, Atlantic hurricanes can move across Central America into the Pacific, and vice-versa. This happened in July 1996 when Atlantic Hurricane Cesar moved across Central America and was renamed Douglas when it moved into the Northeast Pacific Ocean. In 1989, Cosme in the Pacific became Allison in the Atlantic. The rule was that if the tropical storm or hurricane moved into a different basin, then it was renamed to whatever name was next on the list for the area. But that is no longer the case. Now, the National Hurricane Center says that if the system remains a tropical cyclone as it moves across Central America, then it will keep the original name. However, if the tropical cyclone dissipates and if there is not an identifiable circulation remaining as it moves over Central America, and if it reforms when it gets into another ocean basin, the Hurricane Center will give the storm a new name.
Nick,
What happens if there are more hurricanes than names in a given year? Haven
they ever run out of names for hurricanes in the Atlantic?
Kimberly
Knoxville, TN
There are 21 names on the tropical cyclone list for the Atlantic basin. The letters Q, U, X, Y and Z are not used. If there are more than 21 named storms in the Atlantic in one year, we would start using letters from the Greek alphabet, which we did in 2005. So the 22nd named storm is Alpha, the 23rd would be Beta, then Gamma, Delta, Epsilon, and so on. Since there are 24 letters in the Greek alphabet, it's not likely we'd even get close to using up that list or going beyond what would be "Tropical Storm Omega!
Why dont you use the
letters Q, U, X, Y and Z for hurricane names in the Atlantic Ocean?
Enrique
Houston, TX
Enrique,
The committee of the World Meteorological Organization that maintains the list of hurricane names feels that there are not enough common names that start with those letters to use them. Hurricane names are picked from common names of people in the areas affected by the storms, so in the Atlantic basin, for example, American, Caribbean, Mexican and Central American names will appear on the lists of tropical cyclones.
In the Eastern Pacific Ocean east of longitude 140 W, the letters Q and U are not used, but X, Y and Z are, so you may hear of Hurricane Xina or Xavier, York or Yolanda or Zelda or Zeke there.
For more on the various
names of tropical cyclones used around there world, go to this page from the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration:
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/B2.html
Hi Nick,
Is it possible for rain to contain sea water? The rain we got from Hurricane
Katrina (2005) seemed to smell salty to me.
Doris
Millersburg, OH
Doris,
Rain water is always fresh water, even if its original source was from the
ocean. That's because when water evaporates, it leaves all solids, including
salt, behind. When water vapor condenses back to water droplets to form clouds,
the condensation does occur onto what are called condensation nuclei which are
microscopic particles of dust or salt, but the particles are too small to
provide any significant salt content in the rainwater. Even the clouds from a
hurricane that form from evaporated seawater contain only fresh water.
Has there ever been a
hurricane to hit Seattle, Washington?
Alyson
Louisville, KY
Alyson,
Hurricanes are tropical cyclones with warm air near the center of low pressure.
They form over the warm waters of tropical oceans. This kind of storm cannot
form in the cold Pacific waters off the coast of Washington State. However, the
Pacific Northwest has seen storms with hurricane-force winds. The worst of them
struck on October 12, 1962. Known as the Columbus Day Storm, it is actually the
strongest non-hurricane wind storm to strike the continental U.S. in the
twentieth century. Though winds in Seattle were measured just below hurricane
strength, winds in Portland gusted to 116 miles an hour, and winds on the coast
peaked at 138. 46 people died and at least 100 homes were destroyed. The storm
was fueled by a dying typhoon as it crossed the Pacific and merged with an
upper-level trough off the Pacific Coast. As it moved from the south toward the
Oregon coast, air pressure rapidly fell ahead of the storm center and rose
quickly behind the center. The short distance between very low pressure and
very high pressure resulted in the strong winds. Other big wind storms
have hit the Northwest since then, but none has been as strong as the Columbus
Day Storm.
What are the chances of New York getting a
hurricane in the form of a category 3 or higher?
Brian
Highland Mills, NY
The chances of a major hurricane striking the coast of New York are fairly remote, though not unprecedented. It has happened before. The infamous Long Island Express in 1938 was a category three hurricane. If such a strong hurricane hit the same area, which is much more developed and densely-populated today, the damage would be disastrous, and evacuations would take dangerously long.
So anyone who lives near the shore in the United States (even people on Long Island and Cape Cod, MA) need to recognize the danger of a hurricanes. They need to have a plan of action; they need to have emergency supplies in case they decide to stay home. They need to have copies of important records somewhere else beside their home. They need to have prescriptions, extra cash, financial records and anything else that they may not be able to live without. They need to have a place to go inland and stay for awhile if need be. (Motels fill up fast!) If they have pets, they need to have a plan for them. They need to know how to put plywood over windows and have the tools to do it. These preparations are necessary even for a category one or two hurricane, and the New York tri-state area has seen plenty of those over the years.
Nick
Nick,
How are hurricanes first formed?
Christi
From late
spring to early fall, weather conditions come together to form swirling tropical cyclones
over the Atlantic and Pacific oceans.
This is when all the ingredients for tropical
cyclones come together, including warm ocean waters, a warm moist atmosphere that is most
conducive to thunderstorms, a lot of large-scale spin in the atmosphere, and not much
vertical shear (turning of winds with height).
Why do hurricanes turn
counter-clockwise and not clockwise?
Wesley
Whitehall, NY
Hi Wesley,
Actually, the direction of a tropical cyclones spin depends on whether it forms in the top half of Earth or the bottom half. All tropical cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere rotate in a counter-clockwise direction, and clockwise in the Southern Hemisphere.
Whats the difference? Earths rotation is responsible for what is called the Coriolis force, which tends to pull winds to the right in the Northern Hemisphere, and to the left in the Southern Hemisphere. So when a low pressure center forms north of the equator, winds are pulled to the right as they blow into the center of the low and the wind flow is counter-clockwise. South of the equator, winds toward the lows center are deflected to the left, so the rotation is clockwise.
When a hurricane has winds
of 100 mph, where do these winds come from? How are they made?
Nicole
The winds come from the vast difference in air pressure between the center of the tropical cyclone and the edges of it. As you may know, wind flows generally from areas of high pressure to areas of low pressure. Take a bicycle pump, for example. When you put pressure on the air inside the pump, the air under the high pressure flows through the pumps tube to where the air pressure is lower. So as a tropical cyclone strengthens and the air pressure in the center drops, air flows in from all sides of the cyclone in a counter-clockwise direction in the Northern Hemisphere and a clockwise direction in the Southern Hemisphere. This is due to the Coriolis Force set up by Earths rotation. (See previous question) The bigger the difference in air pressure between the center of the hurricane and the outskirts of it, the stronger the winds will be. Thats why when we see the center pressure drop, the hurricane grows stronger.
I was just wondering why hurricanes
seem to move east to west and most US weather systems move west to east.
Max
Max,
You are correct. Most tropical systems, at least initially, basically move in an east to
west direction. To get the best answer for you
about why this is true, I asked The Weather Channel's tropical weather expert Steve Lyons
for his input. Heres his answer:
Non-tropical weather systems
(low pressure areas, gales and storms) generally move from west to east while tropical
cyclones (tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes) generally move from east
to west. The answer to this is simple, they each move with the "steering"
current they are embedded in. The steering current basically pushes them along. In
non-tropical areas steering winds blow from west to east and hence so to do weather
systems. In tropical areas steering winds blow from east to west and hence so to do
tropical weather systems. The boundary that separates steering from west to east from
steering from east to west is the subtropical ridge of high pressure, typically located
near 30 degrees north latitude (farther south in winter and farther north in summer).
South of this ridge of high pressure we find "trade winds" (blowing from east to
west), north of this high pressure ridge we find "westerlies" (blowing from west
to east).
Frequently tropical cyclones will move generally toward the west but also move north of
about 30 degrees north latitude. When this happens we see the cyclone "re-curve"
and begin moving toward the east in the same direction as non-tropical weather systems do
in those locations. After all, a steering current will move tropical and non-tropical
weather systems about the same, if they are about the same depth.
Unfortunately the world is not so simple and we have changing winds and steering currents
in the east-west direction as well as in the north-south direction. It is for this reason
we see rather wild and highly varied tracks to tropical cyclones. Steering currents are
constantly changing in speed and direction due to continuously varying atmospheric weather
patterns.
Thanks for your observation, Max. And thank you, Steve, for your expertise.
When a big hurricane passes
through the Gulf of Mexico, is enough heat energy sucked out of the ocean to
significantly lower the temperature of the water?
Hank
Albuquerque, NM
Hank,
You are correct; a hurricane will almost always cool the ocean waters over which
it passes. It causes "upwelling," which is pulling cooler water up from lower
depths toward the surface of the ocean. How much a tropical cyclone cools the
ocean depends on the size of the hurricane, how fast it moves, and the vertical
lapse rate of temperature in the ocean (how fast the temperature changes from
surface to lower depths, which changes from one location to the next and even
from one day to the next.) These variables in different combinations would
produce highly variable results depending on the specific situation.
I was told that if a man were to stand
outside in a hurricane that the wind would be so powerful it would rip the shirt and tie
clean off his body. Could this really happen?
Adam
I forwarded your question to Dr. Steve Lyons, our hurricane expert at The Weather Channel.
Here is his response:
Having gone into a wind tunnel in sustained winds from toe to head of 160 mph, I can
answer this question without a doubt of being wrong! Hurricane force winds of 74 mph are
strong, but will NOT rip off your shirt or tie. In
fact, if no debris is flying through the air, it is sort of fun! You can lean way into the wind without falling
down, but it will not blow you away. However,
it is difficult to walk forward without losing your balance.
When winds get to 160 mph it is pure survival even being tied to the floor of a wind
tunnel. It is very difficult to breathe. The
force of the wind is so strong that it broke one of my ribs as I was pushed back so hard
against my "climbing harness". One must wear ear plugs or you risk damaging your
hearing because the wind's roar is so loud. These winds still will not tear the shirt off
your back, but if there was blowing sand, you would be sandblasted to the extent that it
would "blast" your clothing off your body. Also,
your face would become so permanently defaced that you would be unrecognizable (both were
observed in victims of the CAT 5 1935 hurricane in the Florida Keys.) It was impossible to
keep my lips closed, my mouth was shut tight, but my lips were spread wide open and I was
not able to close them.
Wow! Adam, I think you'll agree this gives you
a pretty good picture of the force of hurricane winds.
Thanks for your question.
Nick,
Is there a "purpose" for hurricanes?
Mindy
New Port Richey, FL
What a thoughtful and thought-provoking question! We tend to concentrate on the destruction of hurricanes and tropical storms, implying that they are always a bad thing.
The answer is, yes. There is an excess of heat energy in the tropical oceans around the globe. When a hurricane forms, it feeds off the warm moisture from the tropical waters and often travels toward the poles . The storm essentially carries some of the heat energy away from the area of excess energy, and transports it to areas with a deficit of heat energy. Thus tropical cyclones help to keep our planet's atmospheric energy supply in balance.
Something else to consider is that much of the United States east coast, as well as other areas affected by hurricanes, rely on tropical rainfall to keep the soil and groundwater supplies adequate for agriculture, human consumption, and recreation. When tropical cyclones do not bring that rain for a long time, these areas can sometimes experience drought.
Now dont get me wrong. Im not saying that destructive hurricanes such as Katrina. Rita and Wilma are good for our way of life. But tropical cyclones are one of natures ways of keeping our weather and climate in balance, and we should treat them with awe and respect.
Nick
Dear Mr. Walker,
Are there hurricanes or typhoons in the southern hemisphere?
Sue
Florida
Yes there are, though they usually go by a different name. They can form in the Indian Ocean, and southern Pacific Ocean where they are simply called tropical cyclones or sometimes severe tropical cyclones. In the southern Atlantic Ocean, there is usually not enough spin or convergence in the atmosphere and the upper level winds are too strong for such storms to form, though a hurricane did form in the southern Atlantic in March, 2004 and made landfall in Brazil. This was the first time on record a hurricane formed in this area.
Nick,
One of our students had a great question about how fast a hurricane moves over the ground.
They all know that a hurricane weakens when it moves over land due to the lack of warm
water convection feeding the storm. But all of the sources we have checked online have
mentioned that the land surface causes an increase of friction due to the uneven surface.
The students and I both have a problem with increased friction and increased ground speed
occurring at the same time. They have looked at several past hurricane tracks and speeds
to discover that the storms indeed do speed up in their motion once they make landfall. Please let me know the correct reasoning for this
phenomenon.
Thank you,
Nancy
What a great
question! You are correct. Tropical cyclones often pick up speed after making landfall,
despite the friction with land. This is not
always the case, however. Some tropical
cyclones slow down over land, especially at lower latitudes such as in Texas and Mexico. In 1994 Tropical Storm Alberto moved over Georgia
and Alabama and slowed to a snails pace. As
it crawled over the southeastern United States, heavy rain led to disastrous flooding.
One thing to remember: friction with land is
associated with wind speed and not the speed of motion of the entire weather
system. Tropical cyclones can pick
up speed after landfall, but the winds within the system will usually weaken.
A good example of this is Hurricane Isabel.
After making landfall on the North Carolina coast, Isabel encountered faster
steering winds as it became assimilated into a mid-latitude weather system.
The system picked up considerable speed over land while the winds within the
system generally slowed.
A big factor in whether or not the tropical
cyclone moves faster or slower after landfall is its latitude. Atlantic storms
typically move with the steering currents in the tropics from east to west.
If they turn northward, they are influenced more by the mid-latitude westerly
winds. The transition from being steered by the trade winds to being steered
by the westerlies is what causes many hurricanes and tropical storms to head
toward the U.S. coast only to turn away from land and back out to sea before
they make landfall. These strong west winds in the upper levels often (but not
always) help speed up the tropical cyclone. This increase in speed would occur
whether it made landfall or not, simply because the storm is moving into a
higher latitude. Again, this is a
general statement, and steering wind currents can vary in strength and direction
both in the tropics as well as in the mid-latitudes.
Thanks again for such a thoughtful question.
My thanks to meteorologists Buzz Bernard, Stu Ostro and Dr. Greg Forbes for
their help.
Has
there ever been a case where two hurricanes come together and merged into one larger
hurricane?
San Sebastian Sixth graders
Miami, Florida
No, it's actually impossible for two or more hurricanes to merge together. But if two hurricanes or tropical storms do come close together, they can interact with one another. Their close proximity may weaken one or both of the storms. Or they may begin circling around each other. This is called the Fujiwhara effect, named after a Japanese meteorologist who first explained the phenomenon. In this case, the tropical cyclones begin to move around a center point between them. It's sort of like two people on opposite sides of a tetherball pole each holding onto a ball and walking around the pole. The resulting "dance" is an amazing thing to see on an animated weather satellite photograph! Go here to see a photo.
Has a
hurricane ever hit the west coast of the United States?
Cliff
San Diego, CA
No
hurricanes have hit California, but one tropical storm has.
In late September 1939, a tropical storm moved onshore near Long Beach with
50 mph winds. It caused two million dollars
in damage and brought 5.66 inches of rain to Los Angeles and 11.6 inches at Mount Wilson.
Nick,
It was said that Charley (August, 2004) was
a Category four storm with sustained 145 mph winds. Yet, now, in the aftermath, it is
being said that the highest gust only touched 127, far below what it was supposed to have
been. Does this mean the storm wasn't really as powerful as first thought?
Anthony
New Jersey
Not necessarily. Since surface observations of a tropical cyclone at sea are
impossible, the winds are estimated. But it's usually a pretty good guess. Hurricane
Hunters drop instruments from airplanes above the storm to measure mid and upper level
winds and barometric pressure, and formulas are used to derive the surface wind speed from
those readings. Specific barometric pressure ranges correspond to specific wind speed
ranges. Also, observations from satellite can be used to estimate the wind, since the
storms exhibit certain characteristics with particular wind speeds.
Clocked wind speeds on land are less than the wind speeds of a tropical cyclone at sea for
several reasons. First of all, the wind speed posted for a tropical cyclone at sea
represents the forecasted maximum sustained wind over an open ocean ten meters (33 ft)
above the surface. In other words, this is the highest wind you would find in some part of
the center of the tropical storm or hurricane over water, not over land. Winds below 33
feet, where most surface measurements are taken, will not be as strong. Also, as a
hurricane or tropical storm makes landfall, the center of maximum wind rarely passes over
an anemometer, and even if it did, the wind-measuring instrument would probably be
destroyed by the wind, so you wouldnt get a maximum reading anyway. Portable wind
instruments aren't substantial enough to carry into the eye, which would be a difficult
and foolhardy endeavor. Besides, the hurricane loses strength as soon as it hits land, so
only anemometers located on the beaches would give a maximum reading. In that case, wind
gusts at the coast would be close to the maximum sustained winds of the cyclone while it
was at sea.
One other element to consider is that the wind speeds of a hurricane are often revised
upward or downward after-the-fact for the record books. Once meteorologists get a look at
the damage, they are able to get a pretty good idea of what sort of wind speeds actually
occurred. This is the same way they determine the F strength of tornadoes--by surveying
the damage. This is why Andrew was eventually raised to a Category 5 hurricane--up from a
Category 4--which it was classified as for years.
Hey Nick,
We are thinking of going to Virginia Beach during the middle of September and are
concerned about the hurricane season. When are hurricanes most likely to occur there?
We're also curious about Gulf Shores, Alabama.
Thanks,
Susan
Dresden, ME
September is considered
the height of the hurricane season, with September 10th being the most active in the Atlantic Ocean
historically. But before you cancel your
plans, consider this: Hurricanes hit the
southern Virginia coast, on average, every seven to fifteen years, so the odds are still
in your favor, though the odds are much better in June and July. The odds on the Alabama coast are only slightly
worse, with a hurricane affecting that area every seven to ten years. Thousands of people visit the Atlantic and Gulf
Coast beaches in September and never experience a hurricane or tropical storm. But if you want the best odds during the summer
months, the earlier you go, the better. Just
bear in mind that even then, it is not impossible to have a land-falling hurricane or
tropical storm.
Nick,
Brenda
I dont think you should worry about this. While
its true that there have been, and there will certainly again be tropical cyclones
in the Caribbean during the month of August in any year, the chances of a cruise ship
directly encountering one is pretty remote. First
of all, the odds of a tropical storm being in the Caribbean the exact week of your trip is
fairly low. Also, todays modern cruise
ships have state-of-the-art weather observing equipment that tells ship captains well in
advance what sort of weather they will encounter at sea.
Cruise ships will steer clear of any hint of foul weather, and are fast enough to
outrun almost any storm coming their way. If
a tropical cyclone were to be in your ships path, you might end up visiting a
different destination than you had planned, or your ship might encounter heavier than
normal waves. Seasick patches would come in
handy in this case.
The only scenario I can
think of in which you would face a serious problem would be if for some reason, your ship
lost power and couldnt move away from an approaching storm. Thats highly unlikely, but of course, no one
can guarantee a trouble-free vacation. If
August is your best month to go, Id say, with envy in my voice, go and have a great
time!
What
is the difference between a hurricane and a typhoon?
Alex
Williamsburg, VA
Hi Alex,
The difference is basically in location. Both hurricanes and typhoons are tropical
cyclones that develop from areas of low pressure and thunderstorms over warm oceans. In
the North Atlantic Ocean, the Northeast Pacific Ocean east of the International Dateline
(western hemisphere), or the south Pacific Ocean east of Longitude 160 east, we call them
hurricanes. In the Northwest Pacific Ocean west of the International Dateline (eastern
hemisphere) they are called Typhoons. Hurricanes affect areas such as the United States,
Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean islands. Typhoons affect areas such as Japan,
China, Taiwan and the Philippines. But they are exactly the same type of storm.
If you were standing
on a California beach and the waves were coming in toward you, then if you were standing
on a beach in China would the waves be going away from you and heading for California? Or
is there a place in the middle of the ocean where the waves split heading toward all the
coasts? What makes the waves head towards the land?
Christy
Des Plains, IL
I consulted our
hurricane expert Steve Lyons on this, and here is his answer:
"All ocean
surface waves (except Tsunamis) are caused by the wind.
Ocean waves move in the same direction the wind is blowing. But waves have a
very long lifetime, and usually only dissipate when they hit a coast. So as waves move
away from the wind area that generates them they are called "swells." Swells can move thousands of miles away from the
area where the wind generated them. For
example, swells that routinely affect Southern California in summer come from the south. When we track them we find they have been formed
by strong winter storms in the Southern Hemisphere. That
means that they have traveled more than 3500 miles to the California coast, a trip that
takes about one week.
So at any given time
waves are being generated locally by the local wind and swells are moving across oceans
from distant wind generation areas. Those swells move along what are called
"great-circle" tracks. Those are
the shortest distance between two points on a sphere, or in this case, Earth. As swells move away from the wind generation area
that made them, they "decay," or get smaller and smaller as they spread out. In Southern California when you see swells this
summer from the south they could be from a hurricane or tropical storm off the coast of
Mexico or from a winter storm in the Southern Hemisphere (remember when it is summer in
the northern hemisphere it is winter in the southern hemisphere). When you see swells of 8-10 feet in California
that have traveled 3500 miles or so, you can be sure that they were very large (30-40
feet) waves in the area where winds generated them.
At any moment, waves and swells at a location (such as China or California) are the result of any wind that is pointing toward that location and generates swells. So waves and swells in China may be generated from completely different winds or storms than those in California.
Nick,
What do the numbers 29.58 in/1002 mb on your tropical maps tell us? What does that
information mean?
Ms. J. Lenox's 4th grade class
McDonough, GA
When we show you the air pressure numbers inside a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane, we give the pressure readings in both inches of mercury and in millibars. Inches of mercury are the familiar standard of air pressure measurement in the United States. The scale refers to how high the mercury rises in a barometer due to air pressure. Millibars, also called hectopascals. are the standard method of air pressure measurement for meteorologists. Unlike an inch of mercury, a millibar is the unit of pressure in the metric system, like pounds per square inch would be the unit used to express air pressure in the U.S. Since they refer to a direct measurement of pressure, millibars can be used in metric-based mathematics to calculate weather conditions. One millibar is equal to .02953 inches of mercury. To give you some perspective, the average pressure at sea level is 29.92 inches of mercury of 1013.25 millibars. On the other hand, the air pressure in a category three hurricane is 27.91 or 28.47 inches on average, or 945 to 946 millibars. Air pressure decreases with altitude, so the measured air pressure over land is usually less than what the value would be at sea level. One important thing to remember is that when we refer to the air pressure on surface maps over land, the raw observations at various locations and elevations are adjusted to what the air pressure measurements would be at those locations if the air extended all the way to sea level.
I have a couple of
questions about the recent tropical cyclones in the South Pacific. Are they rare this time
of year? Is there a difference between a hurricane/typhoon and a tropical cyclone?
Matt
From March 6-15, 2005,
tropical cyclone Ingrid ravaged the northern coast of
Tropical season comes in summer and early autumn. So the prime time for Atlantic hurricanes is June
to November, whereas most tropical cyclones south of the Equator form from November to
April. This is the time when all the
ingredients for tropical cyclones come together, including warm ocean waters, a warm moist
atmosphere that is most conducive to thunderstorms, a lot of large-scale spin in the
atmosphere, and not much vertical shear (turning of winds with height).
Hurricanes/Typhoons/Tropical
Cyclones (with winds of 74mph or higher) are just different names (in various parts of the
world) for the same weather feature. Tropical cyclones (the generic name) are called
hurricanes in the North Atlantic and the
Thanks to Hurricane Expert Dr. Steve Lyons for his input.
What are the characteristics of a
Category 5 Hurricane?
Chris
To be classified as a Category 5,
which is the strongest rating on the Saffir-Simpson scale, a hurricane must have sustained
winds exceeding 155 miles an hour. Winds that strong will blow trees and signs down and do
extensive damage to the roofs, window and doors of buildings, and can blow roofs
completely off of many homes. Small buildings
and mobile homes may even be destroyed or blown away.
A category five hurricane may also cause the ocean to rise more than 19 feet
above normal levels, flooding homes within five hundred yards of the shoreline. When such a hurricane approaches the coast,
residents within five to ten miles of the shore should evacuate well before the storm
hits, since low-lying escape routes may be blocked by rising water several hours before
the hurricanes center arrives. Only
three category 5 hurricanes have struck the United States in recorded history: 1935s
Labor Day Hurricane that struck the Florida Keys, Hurricane Camille which in
1969 struck Mississippi and Louisiana, and Hurricane Andrew that hit southern Florida and
Louisiana in 1992.
Why do hurricanes form
near the equator?
Chas
Hurricanes need the warm humid air above tropical oceans in order to develop. Thats why they form over ocean waters close
to the equator. And thats why they form
only during the summer and early fall, when those waters are about 80 degrees F or above. But you wont normally see hurricanes form
right at the equator. Thats because at zero degrees latitude there isnt enough
turning of winds (Coriolis Force) in the atmosphere to give tropical cyclones the
spin they need to get started. You have to get about three degrees or almost
200 miles away from the equator before you get into an area where hurricanes and tropical
storms can easily form. In 2001, Typhoon Vamei
in the
Do hurricane winds spin in or out?
Kelly
The simple answer to your question is yes.
A hurricane reaches all the way from the surface of the ocean to thousands
of feet into the atmosphere. At its lower
levels near the oceans surface, air rushes inward in a counterclockwise direction in
the Northern Hemisphere. That spinning air
rises upward, building the giant thunderstorms that make up the tropical cyclone and
lowering the air pressure at the surface. At
the top of the hurricane in the upper atmosphere is an area of high pressure where the air
is flowing outward. The rising air flows away
from the cyclone, which helps force more air upward from the surface to replace that
rising air. The hurricanes energy is fed
by that continuous flow of warm humid air into the cyclone, and the outward flow above. In fact, if air moves into the cyclone at the lower
levels slower than it moves out at high levels, the hurricane will strengthen. Thats because the air is forced upwards
faster, so the air pressure gets even lower.
Is it possible to have hurricanes and
tornadoes in the same area?
Sheryl
Minneapolis,
Yes, tornadoes often occur within a hurricane from a couple of days before landfall to as
many as three days afterward, though most tornadoes that are produced by a tropical
cyclone occur on the day of landfall. Although
the structure of a hurricane is much different than that of the usual tornado-producing
thunderstorm, there is enough vertical shear (turning of wind direction as you go higher
in the atmosphere) to produce supercell storms within the hurricane, which can bring
tornadoes. One of the biggest tornado
outbreaks ever reported in the
Who names the hurricanes and how do
they come up with them?
Tommy
Wichita,
The
Go here for a list of hurricane and tropical cyclone names.
If the wind comes into a hurricane
from all directions and rises to form the eye, why is the "right" side of the
storm the most powerful?
Thanks,
Jim
Brattleboro, VT
Facing the direction the tropical
cyclone is moving, the right side has the reputation for being the strongest. As The Weather Channel's Tropical Expert Steve
Lyons explains, this is because in the Northern Hemisphere, the winds in a hurricane flow
counterclockwise around its center. As the storm nears the shoreline, these winds blow in
the direction of the coast instead of away from it, pushing seawater toward shore. This results in higher surge and higher waves in
that quadrant of the tropical cyclone. Also,
the tornado threat can be greater in this quadrant. Incidentally,
winds circulate clockwise around tropical cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere, so in their
case, the left side will usually cause more damage.
Nick
Do hurricanes that form in the
Caribbean ever turn south and make landfall on the coast of northern South American
countries like Venezuela?
Phil
Lisle,
A hurricane that formed in the Caribbean is not likely to turn south toward
Tropical cyclones that enter the
Nick,
How can wind speed be converted into force? Is there are chart to show at
Mark
The
force of wind is proportional to the square of the wind speed. For example, a 50 mph wind has 4 times the force of
a 25 mph wind. A 70 mph wind would have about
twice the force of a 50 mph wind. But
theres more to it than that, and computing the exact value of the force is more
difficult. The force is also proportional to
the density of the air, which can be computed if you know the air pressure and
temperature. But theres another variable
in the equation, and that is the drag coefficient of the object that the wind is blowing
against. Engineers determine various drag
coefficients by putting objects in a wind tunnel. They
measure the force on the objects and working backwards from the known speed and air
density to determine the drag coefficient.
So
Mark, it looks as if converting wind speed to exact pounds per square inch is possible,
but can be a little complicated. Thanks for your question!
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